Life was fine til 2months ago for my lvl 57 ws. in the last 2 month, this is why he has done with 60% crafting (concecutively)
failed 2 bw helmets
failed 9 out of 11 bw tunics
failed 2 out of 4 soul bows
failed 1 out of 2 carnage
failed draong slayer
failed DLE
Not only that, he even did the sineater quest to reduce pk to 0 (was 1 before the quest) If the chance is 60%, the probablility for all these failure is next to nothing. why? why? why? Why does nc soft hates me so much?
that is what I saying. A few failures may be bad luck. but 76% failure rate over 21 items is not bad luck, must has something to do with ncsoft random number generator :(
If it makes u feel better I failed 2 out of 2 dasparions. I bougth the 3rd.
U are just unlucky, 60% doesn't mean u will craft 6 items out of 10. It means u have 60% chance of doing that specific item thus u can make 0 out of 10 or 10 out of 10. It's pure luck.
If it makes u feel better I failed 2 out of 2 dasparions. I bougth the 3rd.
U are just unlucky, 60% doesn't mean u will craft 6 items out of 10. It means u have 60% chance of doing that specific item thus u can make 0 out of 10 or 10 out of 10. It's pure luck.
No way. Whith a sample the size of his it's a TREND.
The law of large numbers / "The law of averages"
“If the probability of a given outcome to an event is P and the event is repeated N times, then the larger N becomes, so the likelihood increases that the closer, in proportion, will be the occurrence of the given outcome to N*P.”
But, yes, 21 times repeated and still sucks is possible. So, just... GL.
Another problem how is realized random in computer world.
you'll need to craft 100s of items before you'll see any sort of average % i can flip a coin heads 25 times in a row and i can still flip heads 1 more time ;(
actually he could fail millions of times in a row.. if he was very unlucky ^^
To make you feel better:
I've failed to overenchant 4/4 tries on B/C grade weapons. Yes, all 4 tries failed, 0 worked.
Also failed 2 out 2 60% weapon tries (one was a SoM)... No 60% weapon craft has worked for me yet...
This is not in the last 2 months or something... this is since prelude when I started playing. I am yet to succesfully overenchant a weapon or craft a 60% one..
You're lucky you can keep trying 21 times, and I'm sure those 2 soul bows will even it out somehow. I haven't succeeded ANYTHING at all.. kinda hard to keep trying for me when absolutely EVERYTHING I do always fails. >.>