When I decide on a game I do it on the whim of friends/reviews but allso financial reports.
Let me explain:
I once was part of a now dead game.. I loved that game even tho I started there without friends telling me to do so "as it was so great" or even without reading reviews
Unfortunalty after the company started to loose income on that game first cut-backs were done, exspantions were delayed and at the end they stop the game way before the end of the story.
In my experiance so far it seems to be a trend that if the game financial fail it stops. A strong report however seems to indicate that the game would be more likely to stay the distance.
So having seen that in the past I now will have a look at the company itself (especially when it comes to MMORPG's when the soul incomes comes from that MMORPG). In fact it is my believe that if I like a game and it is allready running for some time and the stock-records are good the likelyhood of being able to play more then 3 years is somewhat garantied. Especially if the gameplay is evolved over longer time (unlike standalone (expentionless) games that will never evolve ) where a long time commitment is needed.
That's just me tho.
BTW this may look all crime and doomy however I am allso the kind of guy that will stick it out till the end (being a L2-funky) unless some major new game is intruduced or if my financial background fails.
I don't think you have anything t worry about regarding NC Soft.
Stocks go up and down all the time. Even with NC's current layoffs, which they were just because these people were on board for the launching of several games and no longer needed now.
In my company, contractors are let go all the time because they are no longer needed on a certain project.
As far as the stocks go, you can have a company that is completely financially healthy and make a profit per share but because that profit is not in line with what was predicted their stocks can go down.
What you want to do when looking at a company is see what they have in the pipeline, see if they have debt See how well their games are doing over the long haul, etc.
As we know, there are several games from other companies that are scheduled for beta very soon. Some of these games are going to give Lineage 2 a run for their money. But this happens all the time. Many people left for WoW and even some for EQ2 but many also came back.
One thing I've learned from playing these online games (and I apologize for offending anyone with this) is that many people who play online games are fickle, hardheaded, whiny as all hell, demanding; sometimes in the most unfair ways, and generally like to stir up drama.
I mean, come on! If a game is not to your liking, do something else. Even write a letter to the game company letting them know of your displeasure. But to see players come a forum and posting their "last post", a sort of manifesto, essentially ripping the game company a new one because not all was to their liking and they are ****** and hope that the company essentially burns in hell; well, that just speaks of drama for drama's sake.
If I don't like a type of detergent I just write a letter to the company. I don't go into all the houses of everyone who bought it and express my disgust to them! Who cares.
So, even if their is another mass exodus of players, many of them will be back because the game they left for just didn't do it for them, was not what it was supposed to be, etc.
Though it is good that you are a long haul guy. I am like you. I am going to stick to L2 until it is no longer fun at all, or another game comes along that is much more to my liking.
Playing a game like L2 really has taught me a lot. I've now tried out most of the popular offerings out there and I can tell you that they all have issues, they all have people who cheat, they all have their detractors.
I've written too much already and lvl 75 is not going to happen by itself (because that would be against the EULA :p )