Lab Test 81 - Combined Probability for Item Crystallization

Juji's Lab Started Last reply 11 posts
~Request by Laby~
Testing: Combined Probability for items crystallization
Question: Are the chance to get different items from crystallization totally different or linked in a way
Reason: When crushing several R99 armor pieces, I got the feeling that if you get an item which is listed with a "low" probability, for example 20%, you will always get all the items which have a higher probability.

Testing Method : The Eternal Sigil seems quite nice to do those skills. The idea would be to crush 50 of thoses, and record if at one point it's possible to get for example an Elcyum Crystal (22~% chance) without getting something which has more chance to happens (Giant EAR, around 27~% if my memory doesn't deceive me)Item Tested: Standard Eternal Sigil
Number of Crystallizations: 50
Test Results:
Crystal (R-Grade) - 94,550
Scroll: Enchant Armor (R-Grade) -352
Blessed Scroll: Enchant Armor (R-Grade) - 6
Giant's Scroll: Enchant Armor (R-Grade) - 62
Elcyum Crystal - 11

http://i.imgur.com/AgYJHAt.jpg

There are 5 different crystallization combinations for the Eternal Sigil:

Combo 1:
1,891 Crystal (R-Grade)

Combo 2:
1,891 Crystal (R-Grade)
8 Scroll: Enchant Armor (R-Grade)

Combo 3:
1,891 Crystal (R-Grade)
8 Scroll: Enchant Armor (R-Grade)
2 Giant's Scroll: Enchant Armor (R-Grade)

Combo 4:
1,891 Crystal (R-Grade)
8 Scroll: Enchant Armor (R-Grade)
2 Giant's Scroll: Enchant Armor (R-Grade)
1 Elcyum Crystal

Combo 5:
1,891 Crystal (R-Grade)
8 Scroll: Enchant Armor (R-Grade)
1 Blessed Scroll: Enchant Armor (R-Grade)
2 Giant's Scroll: Enchant Armor (R-Grade)
1 Elcyum Crystal
**** I totally missed it !

As I thought there is indeed different combination

Thank you Juji :d
**** I totally missed it !

As I thought there is indeed different combination

Thank you Juji :d
am i missing the point or is this exactly what you said?
"When crushing several R99 armor pieces, I got the feeling that if you get an item which is listed with a "low" probability, for example 20%, you will always get all the items which have a higher probability."

if we look at the BEAR with the lowest possibility of all, you get in all cases with the other rewards or not at all.
for the same reason the GEAR (3rd highest probability) is not in combo 1, 2 but included in combo 3, 4 and 5.
otherwise if you where wrong it would include more than 5 combos that would include odd ones like 8 EAR and 1 elcyum or a combo with crystals and BEAR, but it doesnt.
in other words, if you get your low probability item in this case elcyum at 26% you will also get all the reward above it: crystals, EAR, GEAR
It was my suspicion, but I didn't have 100 items to crush to check it :)
OE stuff give more chance to receive Elcyum Crystal (Ex. +4 Sigil) or only improve number of R-Grade crystals?
OE stuff give more chance to receive Elcyum Crystal (Ex. +4 Sigil) or only improve number of R-Grade crystals?
Only improves the number of R-Grade crystals.
So let me understand it right : if i'm so lucky to get the Elcyum Crystal with 20% chance , i will take 100% even all the other items (Cry are 100%) as BEAR , GEAR & EAR?
So let me understand it right : if i'm so lucky to get the Elcyum Crystal with 20% chance , i will take 100% even all the other items (Cry are 100%) as BEAR , GEAR & EAR?
Correct, but for the 5th combo there is a small chance to get it. I only received it 6 times out of the 50 crystallizations.
Correct, but for the 5th combo there is a small chance to get it. I only received it 6 times out of the 50 crystallizations.

Small? Compared to other probabilities in L2, this seems huge.


Great test again btw.
Could you repeat this test but with a requiem and an apocalypse weapon please?
Could you repeat this test but with a requiem and an apocalypse weapon please?
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:rolleyes: LOL!